CapitalTime

Articles on investing and capital management, with a quantitative focus.

BullSignals

These are not stock recommendations or advice; I'm just sharing what I'm doing with my own money. I do NOT recommend duplicating what I'm doing here. Although I like this method, it may not be appropriate for other people, and might be deeply flawed.

2021-12-09

Sell Signal

My market timing algorithm gave a "sell" signal today. It's picking up weakness in non-US markets and projecting that... #bullsignals

2021-10-27

Buy Signal

My market timing algorithm gave a "buy" signal today, so I bought the S&P 500 index. Not much time has passed since the recent... #bullsignals

2021-10-01

Sell Signal

My market timing algorithm gave a "sell" signal today, so I sold the S&P 500 index. This is only within a small account... #bullsignals

2021-07-11

Reflecting on BullSignals During Covid

I continue to run my algorithm-based trend following strategy, to a limited extent. I keep this in a separate account... #bullsignals

2019-12-30

Scaling down my market timing

Although my BullSignals market timing has given reasonable results for a few years, I've decided to scale down... #bullsignals

2019-09-06

Buy Signal

My market timing algorithm gave a buy signal today, September 6. After two weeks in cash, this resumes a long position in stocks. #bullsignals

2019-08-21

Sell Signal

My market timing algorithm gave a sell signal today, August 21. This gives a +6.4% total return in XIU and +9.4% total return in SPY.... #bullsignals

2019-06-13

BullSignals Basics

My algorithm evaluates stock market strength and tries to detect periods of high risk... #bullsignals

2019-06-08

Timing the market is probably a bad idea

I'm aware that it's generally a bad idea to try "market timing". Trading in and out of the market usually gives worse performance... #bullsignals